Tragic failure – On effects of climate change | 19th April 2023 | UPSC Daily Editorial Analysis

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What's the article about?

  • It talks about the recent incidence of harsh heatwaves in Maharashtra.

Relevance:

  • GS3: Disaster and Disaster Management;
  • Essay;
  • Prelims

Context:

  • Eleven people died due to heatstroke after they attended a large public gathering in the open in Kharghar, Navi Mumbai, on Sunday (April 16).
  • Twenty people have been admitted to hospital, three of whom are critically ill. Dozens of others suffered from dehydration while standing in the heat.
  • This incidence is a reflection of climate change, as such incidences of heat waves and heat strokes are now becoming more frequent in various parts of India.

What are heat waves?

  • Qualitatively, a heat wave is a condition of air temperature which becomes fatal to the human body when exposed.
  • Quantitatively, it is defined based on the temperature thresholds over a region in terms of actual temperature or its departure from normal.

What is criterion for declaring heat wave?

  • Heat wave is considered if maximum temperature of a station reaches at least 40°C or more for Plains and at least 30°Cor more for Hilly regions.

a) Based on Departure from Normal:

  • Heat Wave: Departure from normal is 4.5°C to 6.4°C
  • Severe Heat Wave: Departure from normal is >6.4°C

b) Based on Actual Maximum Temperature:

  • Heat Wave: When actual maximum temperature ≥ 45°C
  • Severe Heat Wave: When actual maximum temperature ≥47°C

If above criteria met at least in 2 stations in a Meteorological sub-division for at least two consecutive days and it declared on the second day.

What is a heat stroke?

  • A heat stroke or sunstroke is the result of overheating of the body as a result of exposure to high temperatures and humidity, or due to prolonged physical exertion at high temperatures.
  • A heat stroke is considered to be a medical emergency that requires prompt attention.
    Persons suffering from heat exhaustion experience fatigue, dizziness, headache, nausea, vomiting, hypotension (low blood pressure) and tachycardia (increased heart rate).

 

Impact of rising average temperature and heat waves:

  • Decline in the yield of wheat:
    • The searing temperatures over the years have impacted the yield of wheat.
    • India produced 106.84 million tonnes of wheat in the 2021-22 crop season, less than the 109.59 million tonnes in 2020-21 season, due to a hotter than usual March that impacted the crop during its growth phase.
  • Increased uncertainty regarding the intensity of the monsoon:
    • Three of the last four years saw above normal rainfall in India primarily due to a La Niña, or cooler than usual temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific.
    • While this is expected to subside, whether it will eventually swing to an El Niño and draw moisture away from India’s coasts remains to be seen.
  • Loss of human lives:
    • A Lancet study reported a 55% rise in deaths due to extreme heat and that excessive heat also led to a loss of 167.2 billion potential labour hours among Indians in 2021.

Analysis:

  • The state of the ongoing global climate crisis is such that India is going to have hotter hot days and more of them every year.
  • While some of the blame for the effects — heat-related morbidity and mortality — may lie at the feet of meteorological caprice, the bulk of it will lie at the door of the government, whose responsibility it is to deal with and manage foreseeable inevitabilities.
  • After the event, experts also said that the area lacked a local India Meteorological Department station to issue heat alerts. This misses the point. Many places in India are likely to have a large political event before an official weather station.
  • This, together with the rapid onset of India’s heat crisis, puts the spotlight on the fundamental yet elusive cause of climate-related injustice: the persistence of conditions in which some people are at the mercy of their employers or their leaders, in order to survive a hot day, or, as at the April 16 event, even a few hot hours.
  • As long as this imbalance in relationship is allowed to exist, heat action plans and heat alerts can only be of limited benefit.
  • Instead, India must work towards becoming a country in which every individual is equipped with climate-literacy sufficient to know why higher temperature plus higher relative humidity and/or dehydration equals high risk of injury and death, and the ability to access cool and clean drinking water, ventilated shelter and lodging, and affordable emergency medical care wherever, whenever.

Way Forward:

  • The interplay between local weather and climate is complex and while it is tempting to blame rising heatwave intensity as ‘climate change,’ the science continues to be uncertain.
  • This, however, should be a wake-up call to buttress public health systems and make them more responsive to the challenges from rising temperatures.

 



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