Virtues of planning – India’s Vision 2047: A Roadmap to Becoming a Developed Nation | 2 November 2023 | UPSC Daily Editorial Analysis

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What's the article about?

  • It talks about the upcoming government document “Vision India@2047”.

Relevance:

  • GS3: Indian Economy and issues relating to Planning, Mobilization of Resources, Growth, Development and Employment.
  • Essay 

Context:

  • The Indian government is set to unveil a comprehensive roadmap to transform the country into a developed nation by the time it celebrates its 100th year of independence in 2047.
  • Dubbed “Vision India@2047,” this ambitious plan has been in the works for nearly two years, with officials across ministries working tirelessly to chart a course for India's future.
  • The NITI Aayog, the government's premier think tank, is spearheading the finalization of this vision document.
  • To ensure its comprehensiveness and effectiveness, the Aayog will soon engage in consultations with prominent figures from various sectors, including World Bank President Ajay Banga, Apple CEO Tim Cook, and leading Indian industrialists and thought leaders.
  • These discussions aim to refine the plan's central ideas, address any potential blind spots, and incorporate global perspectives.

Analysis:

  • With the Lok Sabha elections approaching, the Vision India@2047 plan is likely to be viewed as the government's policy playbook for prospective voters.
  • However, the plan's significance extends beyond the electoral arena. It serves as a guiding light for future governments, regardless of their political affiliations.
  • India's remarkable economic growth since 1991, when it accounted for a mere 1.1% of global output, to its current position as the world's fifth-largest economy with a 3.5% share, is a testament to the sustained commitment to reforms and liberalization across governments.
  • The Vision India@2047 plan must address the challenges that have hindered the pace and intensity of reforms in the past.
  • Ensuring policy certainty for global investors keen on participating in India's growth story is paramount.
  • The plan should clearly outline the government's role as an enabler rather than a micro-manager, moving away from recent decisions that have signaled a return to past interventionist practices.
  • A key focus of the vision document is to prevent India from falling into the middle-income trap, a common phenomenon among developing nations.
  • To achieve this, the plan must accelerate the long-sought structural shift in the economy from agriculture to manufacturing.
  • Additionally, it must address the widening trend of income inequality, ensuring that the benefits of India's growth are shared more equitably.
  • While the traditional Five-Year Plans have been discontinued, the Vision India@2047 plan should be revisited at regular intervals to adapt to evolving global trends and unforeseen events.
  • Aiming for a high growth rate of 9% between 2030 and 2047 is commendable, but the plan must also incorporate alternative scenarios and be prepared to make course corrections when necessary.

Way Forward:

  • The Vision India@2047 plan represents a bold and ambitious endeavor to transform India into a developed nation by its centenary year. To achieve this vision, India must navigate the challenges of policy uncertainty, accelerate structural transformation, and promote inclusive growth. By embracing a pragmatic and flexible approach, India can pave the way for a prosperous and equitable future.



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